Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.069758 0.077238 0.085443 0.095156 0.106401 0.119082 0.134563
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.058552 0.068688 0.080719 0.096240 0.116013 0.140757 0.174708
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.050417 0.061764 0.076070 0.095828 0.123076 0.160388 0.217353
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.045139 0.057279 0.073362 0.096904 0.131711 0.183481 0.271082
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.041159 0.053773 0.071198 0.098008 0.140180 0.207863 0.334370
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.037934 0.050796 0.069208 0.098804 0.148017 0.232787 0.407330
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.035065 0.047938 0.066933 0.098641 0.154033 0.255821 0.485725
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.032405 0.045075 0.064254 0.097325 0.157644 0.275129 0.564546
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.030830 0.043669 0.063630 0.099262 0.167389 0.309037 0.695364
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.028774 0.041313 0.061209 0.097683 0.170033 0.328564 0.799456
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.027431 0.039959 0.060276 0.098614 0.177825 0.362035 0.967415
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.025957 0.038268 0.058596 0.097900 0.181991 0.388042 1.131054
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.024916 0.037229 0.057981 0.099233 0.191140 0.430806 1.401279
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.023939 0.036222 0.057327 0.100409 0.200253 0.477363 1.745830
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.022825 0.034899 0.055979 0.099986 0.205477 0.514765 2.101203
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022018 0.034045 0.055414 0.101130 0.214919 0.570118 2.661222
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021280 0.033258 0.054897 0.102301 0.224743 0.631980 3.414070
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020560 0.032453 0.054271 0.103144 0.233912 0.696750 4.393505
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019784 0.031492 0.053260 0.102972 0.240187 0.753979 5.529641
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018936 0.030351 0.051803 0.101579 0.242569 0.796416 6.704328
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018502 0.029945 0.051785 0.103630 0.256133 0.899819 9.485893
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017734 0.028870 0.050323 0.101958 0.257408 0.943969 11.619526
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017266 0.028335 0.049936 0.102944 0.267856 1.045744 16.460790